ATP tennis predict — Alan Magadan vs Coleman Wong

Challenger Hard Cancun challenger · R16 23:30

Predicted probability

Alan Magadan

Mexico

35.13%

Coleman Wong

Hong Kong

64.87%

Average Odds

4.58 / 1.15

Market probability

20.07% / 79.93%

Why This Prediction?

Coleman Wong is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1697 vs 1606), a stronger serve (66.9% vs 58.6% of service points won) and a higher Elo rating (1664 vs 1612).

Player Comparison

1612.3 Elo 1664.5

1605.9 Elo (surface) 1697.3

18 Wins (Challenger) 87

11 Wins (surface) 79

9 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.897 Dominance ratio 1.016

561 Rank 93

25.2 Age 22.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alan Magadan

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-30.

Coleman Wong

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–5L · 54.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alan Magadan Coleman Wong

1st Serve In %

52.5%

53.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.1%

77.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.4%

59.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.8%

30.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.2%

52.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.46

0.70

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.8%

59.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.1%

76.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.0%

50.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

32.3%

23.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

47.1%

49.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.52

0.73

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alan Magadan Coleman Wong

Break Points Saved %

36.1%

75.0%

Break Points Converted %

37.9%

36.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

63.5%

52.5%

Break Points Converted %

34.2%

38.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alan Magadan 0 – 0 Coleman Wong

Hard Cancun challenger · 2026-08-21

R16

Coleman Wong #93

Alan Magadan #561

6-4 1-6 7-6

5 Aces 18

2 Double Faults 4

89 Service Points 97

54 First Serve In 49

43 First Serve Won 40

19 Second Serve Won 24

3 Break Points Saved 3

4 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.1 Average Odds 4.6

Alan Magadan vs Coleman Wong — Prediction