ATP tennis predict — Alan Bojarski vs Aziz Dougaz

Challenger Hard Grodzisk Mazowiecki challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Alan Bojarski

Poland

11.77%

Aziz Dougaz

Tunisia

88.23%

Average Odds

10.31 / 1.03

Market probability

9.08% / 90.92%

Why This Prediction?

Aziz Dougaz is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1543 vs 1396), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1531 vs 1441) and more wins on hard courts (56 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1396.2 Elo 1543.5

1441.0 Elo (surface) 1531.4

0 Wins (Challenger) 78

0 Wins (surface) 56

0 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.761 Dominance ratio 0.987

1568 Rank 687

23.0 Age 29.4

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Alan Bojarski

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-08-02.

Aziz Dougaz

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alan Bojarski Aziz Dougaz

1st Serve In %

—

57.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

71.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

44.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

28.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

48.4%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.43

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.0%

72.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

59.1%

51.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.0%

28.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.2%

47.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.37

0.47

Double Faults per Service Game

0.17

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Alan Bojarski Aziz Dougaz

Break Points Saved %

—

50.8%

Break Points Converted %

—

46.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

38.5%

57.6%

Break Points Converted %

38.1%

51.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Alan Bojarski 0 – 0 Aziz Dougaz

Hard Grodzisk Mazowiecki challenger · 2026-08-02

qualification - 1. round

Aziz Dougaz #687

Alan Bojarski #1568

6-2 6-7 6-1

1 Aces 11

6 Double Faults 1

92 Service Points 73

62 First Serve In 48

36 First Serve Won 36

14 Second Serve Won 16

5 Break Points Saved 0

11 Break Points Faced 1

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.0 Average Odds 10.3

Alan Bojarski vs Aziz Dougaz — Prediction