ATP tennis predict — Akira Santillan vs Izan Almazan Valiente

Challenger Hard Pozoblanco challenger · QF

Predicted probability

Akira Santillan

Australia

32.01%

Izan Almazan Valiente

Spain

67.99%

Average Odds

1.86 / 1.85

Market probability

49.87% / 50.13%

Why This Prediction?

Izan Almazan Valiente is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1629 vs 1529), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1681 vs 1540) and the advantage of playing in his home country.

Player Comparison

1528.7 Elo 1628.8

1539.5 Elo (surface) 1680.7

158 Wins (Challenger) 9

110 Wins (surface) 7

7 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.970 Dominance ratio 0.897

301 Rank 585

29.2 Age 20.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Akira Santillan

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–8L · 27.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Izan Almazan Valiente

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-06-28.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Akira Santillan Izan Almazan Valiente

1st Serve In %

59.8%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

73.3%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.5%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.9%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.4%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.78

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.37

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.8%

58.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.3%

69.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%

46.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.5%

31.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.6%

46.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.45

0.20

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Akira Santillan Izan Almazan Valiente

Break Points Saved %

53.6%

—

Break Points Converted %

45.2%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

52.1%

58.3%

Break Points Converted %

44.0%

48.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Akira Santillan 0 – 0 Izan Almazan Valiente

Hard Pozoblanco challenger · 2026-07-17

QF

Akira Santillan #301

Izan Almazan Valiente #585

7-6 2-6 6-2

2 Aces 8

2 Double Faults 4

94 Service Points 87

66 First Serve In 49

46 First Serve Won 40

14 Second Serve Won 13

5 Break Points Saved 8

9 Break Points Faced 12

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.9 Average Odds 1.9

Akira Santillan vs Izan Almazan Valiente — Prediction