ATP tennis predict — Akira Santillan vs Alastair Gray

Challenger Hard Segovia challenger · 1. round

Predicted probability

Akira Santillan

Australia

54.63%

Alastair Gray

Great Britain

45.37%

Average Odds

2.64 / 1.44

Market probability

35.29% / 64.71%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1537.5 Elo 1536.8

1549.9 Elo (surface) 1472.6

159 Wins (Challenger) 41

111 Wins (surface) 29

7 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.888 Dominance ratio 0.681

293 Rank 265

29.2 Age 28.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Akira Santillan

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–8L · 27.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Alastair Gray

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

13 matches with market odds since 2026-06-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Akira Santillan Alastair Gray

1st Serve In %

59.8%

60.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.3%

71.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.5%

44.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.9%

29.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.4%

48.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.78

0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.37

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.8%

68.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.3%

67.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

50.0%

41.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.5%

25.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.6%

48.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.45

0.47

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Akira Santillan Alastair Gray

Break Points Saved %

53.6%

65.9%

Break Points Converted %

45.2%

31.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

52.1%

63.6%

Break Points Converted %

44.0%

38.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Akira Santillan 0 – 0 Alastair Gray

Hard Segovia challenger · 2026-07-21

1. round

Akira Santillan #293

Alastair Gray #265

2-6 6-2 6-3

0 Aces 10

2 Double Faults 3

65 Service Points 71

41 First Serve In 48

30 First Serve Won 37

10 Second Serve Won 11

1 Break Points Saved 3

4 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.6 Average Odds 1.4

Akira Santillan vs Alastair Gray — Prediction