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Aidan Mayo vs Timo Legout — Prediction

Challenger Hard Kingston challenger · qualification - 1. round 20:00

Predicted probability

Aidan Mayo

USA

53.69%

Timo Legout

France

46.31%

Average Odds

1.85  /  1.81

Market probability

49.45%  /  50.55%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1586.9 Elo 1637.9
1571.1 Elo (surface) 1694.9
86 Wins (Challenger) 14
73 Wins (surface) 12
6 Last 15 form 9
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.858 Dominance ratio 0.900
625 Rank 530
23.3 Age None
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Aidan Mayo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–2L · 71.4%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–6L · 45.5%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–2L · 66.7%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

30 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Timo Legout

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Aidan Mayo Timo Legout

1st Serve In %

55.9%
64.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.6%
57.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.1%
30.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.7%
38.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.3%
34.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.32
0.06

Double Faults per Service Game

0.34
0.75

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.2%
59.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.5%
61.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.4%
50.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.7%
30.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.7%
52.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.60
0.17

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26
0.27

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Aidan Mayo Timo Legout

Break Points Saved %

61.8%
44.4%

Break Points Converted %

45.5%
16.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

69.4%
64.8%

Break Points Converted %

47.5%
51.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Aidan Mayo 00 Timo Legout

Hard Kingston challenger · 2026-08-16

qualification - 1. round

Timo Legout #535

Aidan Mayo #616

6-2 6-3
3 Aces 1
3 Double Faults 3
53 Service Points 43
27 First Serve In 30
14 First Serve Won 23
12 Second Serve Won 6
3 Break Points Saved 0
8 Break Points Faced 1
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.8 Average Odds 1.9

Aidan Mayo — Last 10

W L L W W W W W L W

Timo Legout — Last 10

W W W L W W W L W L