ATP tennis predict — Aidan Mayo vs Sebastian Gorzny

Challenger Hard San Diego 2 challenger · qualification - round of 16 21:30

Predicted probability

Aidan Mayo

USA

45.71%

Sebastian Gorzny

USA

54.29%

Average Odds

1.66 / 2.08

Market probability

55.61% / 44.39%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1643.3 Elo 1722.1

1643.3 Elo (surface) 1687.5

92 Wins (Challenger) 7

79 Wins (surface) 7

10 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.120 Dominance ratio 1.024

356 Rank 444

23.4 Age 22.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Aidan Mayo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–6L · 45.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

30 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Sebastian Gorzny

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-06-03.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Aidan Mayo Sebastian Gorzny

1st Serve In %

55.9%

62.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.6%

66.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.1%

43.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.7%

26.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.3%

53.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.32

0.43

Double Faults per Service Game

0.34

0.38

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.2%

54.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.5%

67.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.4%

58.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.7%

29.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.7%

44.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.60

0.57

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Aidan Mayo Sebastian Gorzny

Break Points Saved %

61.8%

66.2%

Break Points Converted %

45.5%

41.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

69.4%

57.3%

Break Points Converted %

47.5%

37.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Aidan Mayo 0 – 0 Sebastian Gorzny

Hard San Diego 2 challenger · 2026-09-21

qualification - round of 16

Sebastian Gorzny #444

Aidan Mayo #356

6-3 6-4

5 Aces 5

2 Double Faults 1

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

18 First Serve Won 34

10 Second Serve Won 11

1 Break Points Saved 6

4 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.1 Average Odds 1.7

Aidan Mayo vs Sebastian Gorzny — Prediction