ATP tennis predict — Aidan Mayo vs Ryan Seggerman

Challenger Hard Tiburon challenger · 1. round 19:00

Predicted probability

Aidan Mayo

USA

56.72%

Ryan Seggerman

USA

43.28%

Average Odds

1.62 / 2.06

Market probability

55.98% / 44.02%

Why This Prediction?

Aidan Mayo is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1666 vs 1527), a stronger return game (39.4% vs 31.1% of return points won) and a higher Elo rating (1660 vs 1628).

Player Comparison

1659.7 Elo 1627.9

1665.6 Elo (surface) 1526.9

92 Wins (Challenger) 51

79 Wins (surface) 27

10 Last 15 form 11

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.120 Dominance ratio 1.022

362 Rank 672

23.3 Age 27.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Aidan Mayo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–6L · 45.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

30 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Ryan Seggerman

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Aidan Mayo Ryan Seggerman

1st Serve In %

55.9%

55.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.6%

70.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.1%

45.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.7%

26.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.3%

42.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.32

0.79

Double Faults per Service Game

0.34

0.43

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.2%

61.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.5%

76.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.4%

57.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.7%

22.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.7%

46.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.60

0.42

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Aidan Mayo Ryan Seggerman

Break Points Saved %

61.8%

56.4%

Break Points Converted %

45.5%

34.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

69.4%

56.8%

Break Points Converted %

47.5%

23.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Aidan Mayo 0 – 0 Ryan Seggerman

Hard Tiburon challenger · 2026-09-15

1. round

Ryan Seggerman #672

Aidan Mayo #362

1-6 6-4 6-4

6 Aces 15

2 Double Faults 1

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

33 First Serve Won 43

15 Second Serve Won 16

4 Break Points Saved 7

7 Break Points Faced 11

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.1 Average Odds 1.6

Aidan Mayo vs Ryan Seggerman — Prediction