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Aidan Mayo vs Roger Pascual Ferra — Prediction

ATP Hard Los Cabos · qualification - quarterfinal

Predicted probability

Aidan Mayo

USA

82.29%

Average Odds

1.80  /  1.94

Market probability

51.87%  /  48.13%

Why This Prediction?

Aidan Mayo is the favorite because he has more career match wins (82 vs 3), a stronger serve (63.6% vs 57.6% of service points won) and more wins on hard courts (69 vs 3).

Player Comparison

1544.0 Elo 1533.9
1538.6 Elo (surface) 1537.9
5 Wins 0
4 Wins (surface) 0
5 Last 15 form 0
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.835 Dominance ratio 0.835
1046 Rank 1277
23.2 Age 20.4
right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Aidan Mayo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–2L · 71.4%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–6L · 45.5%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–2L · 66.7%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

30 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Roger Pascual Ferra

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

No market odds recorded for this player yet.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Aidan Mayo Roger Pascual Ferra

1st Serve In %

55.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.32

Double Faults per Service Game

0.34

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.2%
65.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.5%
65.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.4%
42.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.7%
33.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.7%
52.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.60
0.04

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26
0.33

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Aidan Mayo Roger Pascual Ferra

Break Points Saved %

61.8%

Break Points Converted %

45.5%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

69.4%
65.3%

Break Points Converted %

47.5%
55.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Aidan Mayo and Roger Pascual Ferra have never played each other.

Aidan Mayo — Last 10

W L L W W W W W L W

Roger Pascual Ferra — Last 5

L W W W L