ATP tennis predict — Aidan Mayo vs Nikita Filin

Challenger Hard Columbus 3 challenger · 1. round 02:45

Predicted probability

Aidan Mayo

USA

82.74%

Nikita Filin

USA

17.26%

Average Odds

1.32 / 3.21

Market probability

70.86% / 29.14%

Why This Prediction?

Aidan Mayo is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1641 vs 1466), a higher Elo rating (1643 vs 1479) and more career match wins (93 vs 1).

Player Comparison

1642.7 Elo 1479.2

1640.8 Elo (surface) 1466.3

93 Wins (Challenger) 1

80 Wins (surface) 1

9 Last 15 form 1

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.120 Dominance ratio 0.957

356 Rank 1210

23.4 Age 20.4

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Aidan Mayo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–6L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

31 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Nikita Filin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-09-30.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Aidan Mayo Nikita Filin

1st Serve In %

55.9%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

71.6%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.1%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.7%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.3%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.32

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.34

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.4%

56.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.0%

71.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.9%

51.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.3%

27.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.8%

44.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.61

0.43

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.49

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Aidan Mayo Nikita Filin

Break Points Saved %

61.8%

—

Break Points Converted %

45.5%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

71.4%

46.7%

Break Points Converted %

44.6%

35.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Aidan Mayo 0 – 0 Nikita Filin

Hard Columbus 3 challenger · 2026-09-30

1. round

Aidan Mayo #356

Nikita Filin #1210

6-4 6-4

3 Aces 9

5 Double Faults 5

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

32 First Serve Won 30

10 Second Serve Won 14

7 Break Points Saved 2

9 Break Points Faced 2

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 3.2

Aidan Mayo vs Nikita Filin — Prediction