ATP tennis predict — Aidan Mayo vs Matthew Forbes

Challenger Hard Kingston 2 challenger · 1. round 19:20

Predicted probability

Aidan Mayo

USA

64.34%

Matthew Forbes

USA

35.66%

Average Odds

1.51 / 2.40

Market probability

61.38% / 38.62%

Why This Prediction?

Aidan Mayo is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1552 vs 1483), more career match wins (87 vs 4) and more wins on hard courts (74 vs 4).

Player Comparison

1561.1 Elo 1504.5

1552.2 Elo (surface) 1483.4

87 Wins (Challenger) 4

74 Wins (surface) 4

7 Last 15 form 4

1 Head-to-head wins 0

1.076 Dominance ratio 1.081

581 Rank 758

23.3 Age 20.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Aidan Mayo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–6L · 45.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

30 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Matthew Forbes

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–4L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Aidan Mayo Matthew Forbes

1st Serve In %

55.9%

65.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.6%

61.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.1%

38.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.7%

23.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.3%

47.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.32

0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

0.34

0.47

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.2%

60.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.5%

70.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.4%

57.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.7%

25.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.7%

47.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.60

0.37

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.44

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Aidan Mayo Matthew Forbes

Break Points Saved %

61.8%

64.3%

Break Points Converted %

45.5%

18.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

69.4%

61.1%

Break Points Converted %

47.5%

42.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Aidan Mayo 1 – 0 Matthew Forbes

Hard Kingston 2 challenger · 2026-08-25

1. round

Aidan Mayo #581

Matthew Forbes #758

7-5 7-5

6 Aces 3

1 Double Faults 7

66 Service Points 77

44 First Serve In 45

30 First Serve Won 31

16 Second Serve Won 12

4 Break Points Saved 5

6 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.5 Average Odds 2.4

Hard Sioux Falls CH · 2024-10-21

R32

Aidan Mayo #329

Matthew Forbes #1927

6-2 6-4

3 Aces 1

2 Double Faults 6

47 Service Points 67

33 First Serve In 44

27 First Serve Won 23

9 Second Serve Won 13

0 Break Points Saved 8

0 Break Points Faced 11

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Aidan Mayo vs Matthew Forbes — Prediction