ATP tennis predict — Aidan Mayo vs Luis Guto Miguel

Challenger Hard Kingston 2 challenger · SF 01:40

Predicted probability

Aidan Mayo

USA

52.38%

Luis Guto Miguel

Brazil

47.62%

Average Odds

1.89 / 1.82

Market probability

49.06% / 50.94%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1600.4 Elo 1593.9

1595.1 Elo (surface) 1597.5

90 Wins (Challenger) 8

77 Wins (surface) 3

9 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.084 Dominance ratio 1.031

581 Rank -

23.3 Age 17.5

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Aidan Mayo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–6L · 45.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

30 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Luis Guto Miguel

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

5 matches with market odds since 2026-08-18.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Aidan Mayo Luis Guto Miguel

1st Serve In %

55.9%

66.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.6%

70.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.1%

42.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.7%

33.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.3%

39.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.32

0.18

Double Faults per Service Game

0.34

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.2%

57.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.5%

69.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.4%

48.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.7%

33.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.7%

55.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.60

0.22

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.32

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Aidan Mayo Luis Guto Miguel

Break Points Saved %

61.8%

60.0%

Break Points Converted %

45.5%

60.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

69.4%

51.6%

Break Points Converted %

47.5%

37.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Aidan Mayo 0 – 0 Luis Guto Miguel

Hard Kingston 2 challenger · 2026-08-29

SF

Aidan Mayo #581

Luis Guto Miguel #-

6-3 6-4

- Aces -

- Double Faults -

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

- First Serve Won -

- Second Serve Won -

- Break Points Saved -

- Break Points Faced -

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.9 Average Odds 1.8

Aidan Mayo vs Luis Guto Miguel — Prediction