ATP tennis predict — Aidan Mayo vs Keshav Chopra

Challenger Hard Kingston 2 challenger · qualification - round of 16 18:30

Predicted probability

Aidan Mayo

USA

78.12%

Keshav Chopra

USA

21.88%

Average Odds

1.14 / 5.15

Market probability

81.88% / 18.12%

Why This Prediction?

Aidan Mayo is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1582 vs 1456), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1574 vs 1458) and a stronger serve (66.6% vs 56.8% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1581.6 Elo 1455.9

1573.9 Elo (surface) 1457.5

87 Wins (Challenger) 3

74 Wins (surface) 3

7 Last 15 form 3

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.055 Dominance ratio 0.694

616 Rank 792

23.3 Age 24.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Aidan Mayo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–6L · 45.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

30 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Keshav Chopra

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-05-31.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Aidan Mayo Keshav Chopra

1st Serve In %

55.9%

56.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.6%

51.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.1%

40.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.7%

5.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.3%

0.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.32

0.12

Double Faults per Service Game

0.34

0.12

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.2%

55.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.5%

65.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.4%

50.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.7%

28.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.7%

40.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.60

0.28

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.36

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Aidan Mayo Keshav Chopra

Break Points Saved %

61.8%

54.5%

Break Points Converted %

45.5%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

69.4%

56.3%

Break Points Converted %

47.5%

43.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Aidan Mayo 0 – 0 Keshav Chopra

Hard Kingston 2 challenger · 2026-08-24

qualification - round of 16

Keshav Chopra #777

Aidan Mayo #581

4-6 7-5 6-3

2 Aces 3

11 Double Faults 4

91 Service Points 104

49 First Serve In 60

35 First Serve Won 38

18 Second Serve Won 25

6 Break Points Saved 7

11 Break Points Faced 11

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

5.2 Average Odds 1.1

Aidan Mayo vs Keshav Chopra — Prediction