ATP tennis predict — Aidan Mayo vs Evan King

ATP Hard Los Cabos · qualification - round of 16

Predicted probability

Aidan Mayo

USA

73.52%

Evan King

USA

26.48%

Average Odds

1.06 / 3.51

Market probability

76.81% / 23.19%

Why This Prediction?

Aidan Mayo is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1524 vs 1468), a higher Elo rating (1531 vs 1463) and a stronger serve (63.6% vs 61.6% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1531.5 Elo 1462.6

1524.4 Elo (surface) 1468.2

4 Wins 9

3 Wins (surface) 9

4 Last 15 form 3

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.911 Dominance ratio 0.746

634 Rank -

23.2 Age 34.3

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Aidan Mayo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–6L · 45.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

30 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Evan King

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

2 matches with market odds since 2026-07-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Aidan Mayo Evan King

1st Serve In %

55.9%

63.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.6%

64.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.1%

51.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.7%

24.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.3%

45.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.32

0.62

Double Faults per Service Game

0.34

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.2%

54.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.5%

69.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.4%

44.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.7%

28.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.7%

44.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.60

0.35

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.24

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Aidan Mayo Evan King

Break Points Saved %

61.8%

73.9%

Break Points Converted %

45.5%

34.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

69.4%

51.5%

Break Points Converted %

47.5%

34.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Aidan Mayo 0 – 0 Evan King

Hard Los Cabos · 2026-07-26

qualification - round of 16

Aidan Mayo #1046

Evan King #-

6-4 6-2

1 Aces 8

2 Double Faults 4

71 Service Points 47

40 First Serve In 25

26 First Serve Won 25

12 Second Serve Won 12

7 Break Points Saved 0

10 Break Points Faced 0

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.1 Average Odds 3.5

Aidan Mayo vs Evan King — Prediction