ATP tennis predict — Aidan Mayo vs Benjamin Willwerth

Challenger Hard Kingston 2 challenger · R16 17:00

Predicted probability

Aidan Mayo

USA

73.68%

Benjamin Willwerth

USA

26.32%

Average Odds

1.14 / 4.70

Market probability

80.48% / 19.52%

Why This Prediction?

Aidan Mayo is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1574 vs 1446), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1565 vs 1447) and more career match wins (88 vs 1).

Player Comparison

1573.8 Elo 1446.2

1565.3 Elo (surface) 1447.2

88 Wins (Challenger) 1

75 Wins (surface) 1

8 Last 15 form 1

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.122 Dominance ratio 0.889

581 Rank 1227

23.3 Age 19.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Aidan Mayo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–6L · 45.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

30 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Benjamin Willwerth

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

4 matches with market odds since 2026-06-16.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Aidan Mayo Benjamin Willwerth

1st Serve In %

55.9%

58.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.6%

69.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.1%

47.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.7%

22.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.3%

50.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.32

0.24

Double Faults per Service Game

0.34

0.15

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.2%

58.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.5%

64.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.4%

48.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.7%

32.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.7%

50.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.60

0.19

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Aidan Mayo Benjamin Willwerth

Break Points Saved %

61.8%

37.5%

Break Points Converted %

45.5%

13.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

69.4%

55.3%

Break Points Converted %

47.5%

37.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Aidan Mayo 0 – 0 Benjamin Willwerth

Hard Kingston 2 challenger · 2026-08-26

R16

Aidan Mayo #581

Benjamin Willwerth #1227

6-4 2-6 6-4

11 Aces 4

9 Double Faults 1

101 Service Points 93

63 First Serve In 53

44 First Serve Won 40

18 Second Serve Won 18

7 Break Points Saved 6

10 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.1 Average Odds 4.7

Aidan Mayo vs Benjamin Willwerth — Prediction