ATP tennis predict — Aidan Mayo vs Andres Martin

Challenger Hard Kingston 2 challenger · QF 19:00

Predicted probability

Aidan Mayo

USA

47.96%

Andres Martin

USA

52.04%

Average Odds

1.77 / 1.93

Market probability

52.16% / 47.84%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1583.6 Elo 1623.2

1576.3 Elo (surface) 1629.3

89 Wins (Challenger) 63

76 Wins (surface) 55

8 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.123 Dominance ratio 1.045

581 Rank 323

23.3 Age 25.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Aidan Mayo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–6L · 45.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

30 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Andres Martin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Aidan Mayo Andres Martin

1st Serve In %

55.9%

56.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.6%

64.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.1%

41.6%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.7%

31.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.3%

51.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.32

0.35

Double Faults per Service Game

0.34

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.2%

60.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.5%

68.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.4%

44.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.7%

33.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.7%

50.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.60

0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.22

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Aidan Mayo Andres Martin

Break Points Saved %

61.8%

56.0%

Break Points Converted %

45.5%

32.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

69.4%

52.0%

Break Points Converted %

47.5%

40.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Aidan Mayo 0 – 0 Andres Martin

Hard Kingston 2 challenger · 2026-08-27

QF

Aidan Mayo #581

Andres Martin #323

6-4 6-4

4 Aces 2

2 Double Faults 1

75 Service Points 61

47 First Serve In 41

35 First Serve Won 27

15 Second Serve Won 11

4 Break Points Saved 3

4 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.8 Average Odds 1.9

Aidan Mayo vs Andres Martin — Prediction