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Aidan Mayo vs Andres Andrade — Prediction

Challenger Hard Kingston 2 challenger · F 01:10

Predicted probability

Aidan Mayo

USA

57.32%

Andres Andrade

Ecuador

42.68%

Average Odds

2.21  /  1.61

Market probability

42.15%  /  57.85%

Why This Prediction?

Aidan Mayo is the favorite because he has a stronger serve (65.3% vs 57.1% of service points won), a stronger return game (37.6% vs 35.1% of return points won) and more aces per game (0.17 vs 0.13).

Player Comparison

1615.2 Elo 1634.8
1611.5 Elo (surface) 1646.0
91 Wins (Challenger) 75
78 Wins (surface) 40
9 Last 15 form 8
1 Head-to-head wins 2
1.084 Dominance ratio 0.817
581 Rank 243
23.3 Age 27.7
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Aidan Mayo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–2L · 71.4%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–6L · 45.5%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–2L · 66.7%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

30 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Andres Andrade

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–3L · 25.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 5W–2L · 71.4%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-06-03.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Aidan Mayo Andres Andrade

1st Serve In %

55.9%
62.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.6%
70.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.1%
50.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.7%
32.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.3%
54.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.32
0.31

Double Faults per Service Game

0.34
0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.2%
57.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.5%
63.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.4%
46.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.7%
26.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.7%
49.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.60
0.25

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26
0.34

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Aidan Mayo Andres Andrade

Break Points Saved %

61.8%
80.0%

Break Points Converted %

45.5%
55.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

69.4%
45.6%

Break Points Converted %

47.5%
35.9%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Aidan Mayo 1 – 2 Andres Andrade

Hard Kingston 2 challenger · 2026-08-30

F

Aidan Mayo #362

Andres Andrade #211

6-3 7-6
8 Aces 0
3 Double Faults 7
82 Service Points 78
44 First Serve In 41
33 First Serve Won 25
16 Second Serve Won 18
6 Break Points Saved 3
9 Break Points Faced 7
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
2.2 Average Odds 1.6
Clay Savannah CH · 2026-04-20

R16

Andres Andrade #217

Aidan Mayo #621

7-6(5) 6-4
2 Aces 1
3 Double Faults 6
75 Service Points 80
41 First Serve In 43
28 First Serve Won 23
18 Second Serve Won 19
9 Break Points Saved 4
12 Break Points Faced 8
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Hard Cuernavaca CH · 2026-03-16

R32

Andres Andrade #223

Aidan Mayo #599

6-4 7-6(4)
4 Aces 2
3 Double Faults 3
79 Service Points 63
55 First Serve In 35
39 First Serve Won 26
12 Second Serve Won 15
8 Break Points Saved 1
10 Break Points Faced 4
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Hard Cary CH · 2025-06-30

R32

Aidan Mayo #299

Andres Andrade #262

6-1 6-3
2 Aces 2
1 Double Faults 4
48 Service Points 54
26 First Serve In 28
20 First Serve Won 17
15 Second Serve Won 9
3 Break Points Saved 4
3 Break Points Faced 8
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Aidan Mayo — Last 10

W L L W W W W W L W

Andres Andrade — Last 10

W L W W W W L W L W