ATP tennis predict — Aidan Mayo vs Alan Magadan

Challenger Hard Bloomfield Hills challenger · qualification - round of 16

Predicted probability

Aidan Mayo

USA

62.00%

Alan Magadan

Mexico

38.00%

Average Odds

1.42 / 2.70

Market probability

65.53% / 34.47%

Why This Prediction?

Aidan Mayo is the favorite because he has a stronger serve (64.1% vs 56.0% of service points won), more wins on hard courts (69 vs 7) and a higher Elo rating (1555 vs 1516).

Player Comparison

1555.0 Elo 1515.9

1550.4 Elo (surface) 1506.9

82 Wins (Challenger) 14

69 Wins (surface) 7

8 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.921 Dominance ratio 0.872

634 Rank 650

23.2 Age 25.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Aidan Mayo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–2L · 71.4%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–6L · 45.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

30 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Alan Magadan

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-30.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Aidan Mayo Alan Magadan

1st Serve In %

55.9%

52.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.6%

72.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.1%

49.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.7%

28.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.3%

52.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.32

0.46

Double Faults per Service Game

0.34

0.26

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.2%

59.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.5%

66.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.4%

49.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.7%

32.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.7%

47.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.60

0.52

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Aidan Mayo Alan Magadan

Break Points Saved %

61.8%

36.1%

Break Points Converted %

45.5%

37.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

69.4%

63.5%

Break Points Converted %

47.5%

34.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Aidan Mayo 0 – 0 Alan Magadan

Hard Bloomfield Hills challenger · 2026-07-20

qualification - round of 16

Alan Magadan #650

Aidan Mayo #634

7-6 3-6 7-6

14 Aces 5

9 Double Faults 1

110 Service Points 110

56 First Serve In 76

44 First Serve Won 47

25 Second Serve Won 21

5 Break Points Saved 5

8 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.7 Average Odds 1.4

Aidan Mayo vs Alan Magadan — Prediction