ATP tennis predict — Aidan Kim vs Ronit Karki

Challenger Hard Kingston 2 challenger · qualification - 1. round 16:00

Predicted probability

Aidan Kim

USA

75.03%

Ronit Karki

USA

24.97%

Average Odds

1.14 / 4.98

Market probability

81.37% / 18.63%

Why This Prediction?

Aidan Kim is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1492 vs 1381), more career match wins (8 vs 3) and a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1500 vs 1418).

Player Comparison

1491.7 Elo 1380.9

1499.8 Elo (surface) 1417.8

8 Wins (Challenger) 3

8 Wins (surface) 2

8 Last 15 form 3

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.755 Dominance ratio 0.995

574 Rank 895

21.7 Age None

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Aidan Kim

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Ronit Karki

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

2 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Aidan Kim Ronit Karki

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

1st Serve In %

54.8%

50.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.2%

72.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.7%

50.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.3%

22.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.0%

58.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.67

0.54

Double Faults per Service Game

0.43

0.42

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Aidan Kim Ronit Karki

Not enough ATP/Grand Slam match history yet.

Break Points Saved %

67.2%

65.2%

Break Points Converted %

31.2%

36.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Aidan Kim 0 – 0 Ronit Karki

Hard Kingston 2 challenger · 2026-08-23

qualification - 1. round

Aidan Kim #574

Ronit Karki #895

6-0 6-3

9 Aces 0

5 Double Faults 6

47 Service Points 45

22 First Serve In 20

20 First Serve Won 11

13 Second Serve Won 9

1 Break Points Saved 2

1 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.1 Average Odds 5.0

Aidan Kim vs Ronit Karki — Prediction