ATP tennis predict — Aidan Kim vs Garrett Johns

Challenger Hard Kingston 2 challenger · 1. round 18:30

Predicted probability

Aidan Kim

USA

41.65%

Garrett Johns

USA

58.35%

Average Odds

1.38 / 2.69

Market probability

66.09% / 33.91%

Why This Prediction?

Garrett Johns is the favorite because he has a stronger return game (45.2% vs 32.9% of return points won), more wins on hard courts (36 vs 10) and more career match wins (61 vs 10).

Player Comparison

1525.3 Elo 1559.5

1538.1 Elo (surface) 1551.2

10 Wins (Challenger) 61

10 Wins (surface) 36

9 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 1

0.891 Dominance ratio 1.286

586 Rank 406

21.8 Age 25.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Aidan Kim

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Garrett Johns

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–5L · 44.4%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Aidan Kim Garrett Johns

1st Serve In %

—

49.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

73.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

49.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

23.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

46.3%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.57

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

54.8%

57.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.2%

67.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.7%

54.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.3%

34.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.0%

53.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.67

0.30

Double Faults per Service Game

0.43

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Aidan Kim Garrett Johns

Break Points Saved %

—

53.6%

Break Points Converted %

—

40.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

67.2%

62.5%

Break Points Converted %

31.2%

45.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Aidan Kim 0 – 1 Garrett Johns

Hard Kingston 2 challenger · 2026-08-25

1. round

Garrett Johns #406

Aidan Kim #586

6-7 6-3 6-2

11 Aces 8

7 Double Faults 3

95 Service Points 100

46 First Serve In 48

32 First Serve Won 31

27 Second Serve Won 35

7 Break Points Saved 5

10 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.7 Average Odds 1.4

Hard Bloomfield Hills CH · 2025-07-21

Q2

Garrett Johns #344

Aidan Kim #583

3-6 6-2 7-6(2)

6 Aces 8

2 Double Faults 1

96 Service Points 95

61 First Serve In 57

45 First Serve Won 39

19 Second Serve Won 20

8 Break Points Saved 5

11 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Aidan Kim vs Garrett Johns — Prediction