ATP tennis predict — Aidan Kim vs Dan Martin

Challenger Hard Kingston 2 challenger · qualification - round of 16 17:00

Predicted probability

Aidan Kim

USA

83.33%

Dan Martin

Canada

16.67%

Average Odds

1.15 / 4.80

Market probability

80.67% / 19.33%

Why This Prediction?

Aidan Kim is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1516 vs 1206), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1527 vs 1245) and more career match wins (9 vs 1).

Player Comparison

1515.5 Elo 1206.2

1526.7 Elo (surface) 1245.1

9 Wins (Challenger) 1

9 Wins (surface) 1

8 Last 15 form 1

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.782 Dominance ratio 0.744

574 Rank 636

21.8 Age 27.3

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Aidan Kim

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Dan Martin

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

5 matches with market odds since 2026-07-12.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Aidan Kim Dan Martin

1st Serve In %

—

55.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

52.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

54.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

15.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

40.0%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.00

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.12

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

54.8%

61.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.2%

65.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.7%

48.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.3%

26.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.0%

48.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.67

0.41

Double Faults per Service Game

0.43

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Aidan Kim Dan Martin

Break Points Saved %

—

57.9%

Break Points Converted %

—

100.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

67.2%

57.7%

Break Points Converted %

31.2%

41.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Aidan Kim 0 – 0 Dan Martin

Hard Kingston 2 challenger · 2026-08-24

qualification - round of 16

Aidan Kim #586

Dan Martin #624

6-2 6-1

5 Aces 0

1 Double Faults 1

38 Service Points 54

22 First Serve In 28

20 First Serve Won 13

9 Second Serve Won 11

0 Break Points Saved 10

0 Break Points Faced 15

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.1 Average Odds 4.8

Aidan Kim vs Dan Martin — Prediction