ATP tennis predict — Adrian Oetzbach vs Pierluigi Basile

Challenger Clay Biella challenger · qualification - 1. round 14:30

Predicted probability

Adrian Oetzbach

Germany

25.87%

Pierluigi Basile

Italy

74.13%

Average Odds

2.80 / 1.35

Market probability

32.53% / 67.47%

Why This Prediction?

Pierluigi Basile is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1550 vs 1427), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1560 vs 1440) and a stronger serve (63.3% vs 56.3% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1426.7 Elo 1549.6

1440.1 Elo (surface) 1559.8

13 Wins (Challenger) 13

11 Wins (surface) 12

5 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.817 Dominance ratio 1.060

636 Rank 562

28.9 Age 19.7

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Adrian Oetzbach

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

4 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Pierluigi Basile

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–3L · 57.1%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Adrian Oetzbach Pierluigi Basile

1st Serve In %

—

63.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

67.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

47.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

22.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

36.5%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.56

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.37

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.3%

57.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.5%

69.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.3%

47.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.4%

33.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.7%

52.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.19

0.42

Double Faults per Service Game

0.35

0.36

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Adrian Oetzbach Pierluigi Basile

Break Points Saved %

—

60.0%

Break Points Converted %

—

21.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

38.2%

60.9%

Break Points Converted %

41.7%

39.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Adrian Oetzbach 0 – 0 Pierluigi Basile

Clay Biella challenger · 2026-09-13

qualification - 1. round

Pierluigi Basile #562

Adrian Oetzbach #636

6-0 7-6

6 Aces 4

4 Double Faults 4

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

26 First Serve Won 27

11 Second Serve Won 18

5 Break Points Saved 2

9 Break Points Faced 3

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.8

Adrian Oetzbach vs Pierluigi Basile — Prediction