ATP tennis predict — Adrian Oetzbach vs Mika Petkovic

Challenger Clay Bonn challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Adrian Oetzbach

Germany

23.80%

Mika Petkovic

Germany

76.20%

Average Odds

3.01 / 1.34

Market probability

30.80% / 69.20%

Why This Prediction?

Mika Petkovic is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1609 vs 1424), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1596 vs 1443) and a stronger return game (35.6% vs 35.0% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1424.3 Elo 1608.5

1442.9 Elo (surface) 1595.7

13 Wins (Challenger) 11

11 Wins (surface) 9

6 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.786 Dominance ratio 0.777

651 Rank 434

28.7 Age 19.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Adrian Oetzbach

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

4 matches with market odds since 2026-06-01.

Mika Petkovic

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–9L · 18.2%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-06-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Adrian Oetzbach Mika Petkovic

1st Serve In %

—

58.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

—

61.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—

47.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—

21.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—

45.7%

Aces per Service Game

—

0.11

Double Faults per Service Game

—

0.42

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

63.3%

53.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.5%

75.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.3%

52.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

31.4%

36.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

44.7%

45.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.19

0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.35

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Adrian Oetzbach Mika Petkovic

Break Points Saved %

—

63.2%

Break Points Converted %

—

28.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

38.2%

69.6%

Break Points Converted %

41.7%

52.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Adrian Oetzbach 0 – 0 Mika Petkovic

Clay Bonn challenger · 2026-07-26

qualification - 1. round

Mika Petkovic #529

Adrian Oetzbach #1077

6-4 7-5

4 Aces 1

0 Double Faults 7

69 Service Points 62

47 First Serve In 37

28 First Serve Won 29

12 Second Serve Won 12

2 Break Points Saved 3

6 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.3 Average Odds 3.0

Adrian Oetzbach vs Mika Petkovic — Prediction