ATP tennis predict — Adrian Mannarino vs Matisse Bobichon

Challenger Hard Rennes challenger · R16 17:00

Predicted probability

Adrian Mannarino

France

64.77%

Matisse Bobichon

France

35.23%

Average Odds

1.20 / 4.09

Market probability

77.32% / 22.68%

Why This Prediction?

Adrian Mannarino is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1818 vs 1631), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1789 vs 1625) and fewer double faults per game (0.10 vs 0.15).

Player Comparison

1818.0 Elo 1630.7

1788.5 Elo (surface) 1625.1

196 Wins (Challenger) 12

150 Wins (surface) 12

9 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.225 Dominance ratio 1.022

79 Rank 605

38.2 Age 24.7

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Adrian Mannarino

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Matisse Bobichon

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-09-06.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Adrian Mannarino Matisse Bobichon

1st Serve In %

54.5%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

70.6%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.9%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.2%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.6%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.37

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.35

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.7%

56.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.9%

64.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.8%

50.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.8%

26.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.3%

39.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.43

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Adrian Mannarino Matisse Bobichon

Break Points Saved %

53.3%

—

Break Points Converted %

35.4%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

59.6%

60.3%

Break Points Converted %

47.4%

40.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Adrian Mannarino 0 – 0 Matisse Bobichon

Hard Rennes challenger · 2026-09-17

R16

Matisse Bobichon #605

Adrian Mannarino #79

6-3 7-5

1 Aces 5

1 Double Faults 1

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

25 First Serve Won 32

7 Second Serve Won 11

2 Break Points Saved 4

5 Break Points Faced 5

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

4.1 Average Odds 1.2

Adrian Mannarino vs Matisse Bobichon — Prediction