ATP tennis predict — Adrian Mannarino vs Dan Added

Challenger Hard Rennes challenger · 1. round 19:00

Predicted probability

Adrian Mannarino

France

71.98%

Dan Added

France

28.02%

Average Odds

1.15 / 4.66

Market probability

80.21% / 19.79%

Why This Prediction?

Adrian Mannarino is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1815 vs 1550), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1785 vs 1557) and a stronger return game (35.3% vs 28.7% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1815.3 Elo 1549.9

1784.8 Elo (surface) 1556.8

195 Wins (Challenger) 85

149 Wins (surface) 73

9 Last 15 form 4

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.225 Dominance ratio 1.121

79 Rank 276

38.2 Age 27.4

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Adrian Mannarino

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Dan Added

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-06-22.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Adrian Mannarino Dan Added

1st Serve In %

54.5%

62.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.6%

68.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

47.9%

39.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.2%

23.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.6%

44.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.37

0.47

Double Faults per Service Game

0.35

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

56.7%

57.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

72.9%

70.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.8%

54.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.8%

37.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.3%

50.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.43

0.40

Double Faults per Service Game

0.20

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Adrian Mannarino Dan Added

Break Points Saved %

53.3%

52.5%

Break Points Converted %

35.4%

42.1%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

59.6%

66.2%

Break Points Converted %

47.4%

39.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Adrian Mannarino 0 – 0 Dan Added

Hard Rennes challenger · 2026-09-15

1. round

Adrian Mannarino #79

Dan Added #276

6-2 6-4

9 Aces 5

1 Double Faults 2

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

29 First Serve Won 26

12 Second Serve Won 9

2 Break Points Saved 6

2 Break Points Faced 9

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.1 Average Odds 4.7

Adrian Mannarino vs Dan Added — Prediction