← Back to Predictions

Adrian Andreev vs Izan Almazan Valiente — Prediction

Challenger Clay Plovdiv 4 challenger · QF 14:00

Predicted probability

Adrian Andreev

Bulgaria

44.59%

Average Odds

1.69  /  2.09

Market probability

55.29%  /  44.71%

Why This Prediction?

Izan Almazan Valiente is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1701 vs 1616), a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1709 vs 1660) and a lighter recent match load (82 vs 162 games played recently).

Player Comparison

1616.1 Elo 1701.4
1659.8 Elo (surface) 1708.8
120 Wins (Challenger) 17
79 Wins (surface) 10
9 Last 15 form 11
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.918 Dominance ratio 0.854
819 Rank 466
25.4 Age 20.6
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Adrian Andreev

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

9 matches with market odds since 2026-08-02.

Izan Almazan Valiente

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–1L · 83.3%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–2L · 66.7%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

19 matches with market odds since 2026-06-28.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Adrian Andreev Izan Almazan Valiente

1st Serve In %

66.5%
—

1st Serve Points Won %

65.9%
—

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.8%
—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.9%
—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.0%
—

Aces per Service Game

0.33
—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18
—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.8%
58.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.3%
67.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.3%
42.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.6%
32.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.2%
52.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.20
0.20

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27
0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Adrian Andreev Izan Almazan Valiente

Break Points Saved %

44.4%
—

Break Points Converted %

38.0%
—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

51.6%
55.4%

Break Points Converted %

36.1%
50.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Adrian Andreev and Izan Almazan Valiente have never played each other.

Adrian Andreev — Last 10

W W W W L W W W W L

Izan Almazan Valiente — Last 10

W W W W L W W W L W