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Adrian Andreev vs Emilien Demanet — Prediction

Challenger Clay Plovdiv 2 challenger · R16 18:30

Predicted probability

Adrian Andreev

Bulgaria

53.36%

Emilien Demanet

Belgium

46.64%

Average Odds

1.51  /  2.44

Market probability

61.77%  /  38.23%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1555.1 Elo 1543.3
1563.1 Elo (surface) 1558.5
115 Wins (Challenger) 7
74 Wins (surface) 7
4 Last 15 form 7
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.810 Dominance ratio 1.095
1108 Rank 658
25.2 Age 21.3
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Adrian Andreev

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

8 matches with market odds since 2026-08-02.

Emilien Demanet

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

6 matches with market odds since 2026-06-15.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Adrian Andreev Emilien Demanet

1st Serve In %

66.5%
60.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.9%
68.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

45.8%
61.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.9%
26.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.0%
48.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.33
0.18

Double Faults per Service Game

0.18
0.12

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.9%
62.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

64.4%
67.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.2%
45.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

34.0%
35.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

49.8%
55.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.20
0.17

Double Faults per Service Game

0.24
0.21

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Adrian Andreev Emilien Demanet

Break Points Saved %

44.4%
77.8%

Break Points Converted %

38.0%
22.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.7%
59.1%

Break Points Converted %

36.7%
42.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Adrian Andreev 00 Emilien Demanet

Clay Plovdiv 2 challenger · 2026-08-05
- Aces -
- Double Faults -
- Service Points -
- First Serve In -
- First Serve Won -
- Second Serve Won -
- Break Points Saved -
- Break Points Faced -
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.5 Average Odds 2.4

Adrian Andreev — Last 10

W W W L W W W W L L

Emilien Demanet — Last 10

L W L W L W W L L W