ATP tennis predict — Adolfo Daniel Vallejo vs Valentin Vacherot

ATP Hard Cincinnati · 2. round 19:00

Predicted probability

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

Paraguay

38.28%

Valentin Vacherot

Monaco

61.72%

Average Odds

3.36 / 1.32

Market probability

28.21% / 71.79%

Why This Prediction?

Valentin Vacherot is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1776 vs 1514), a stronger serve (70.2% vs 60.5% of service points won) and more wins on hard courts (43 vs 8).

Player Comparison

1739.3 Elo 1713.7

1514.2 Elo (surface) 1776.0

18 Wins 50

4 Wins (surface) 29

8 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.089 Dominance ratio 1.025

66 Rank 18

22.3 Age 27.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Valentin Vacherot

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo Valentin Vacherot

1st Serve In %

60.6%

63.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.0%

76.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.1%

53.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.3%

25.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.6%

48.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.30

0.66

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.9%

64.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.3%

76.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.8%

53.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.5%

33.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.4%

49.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.18

0.65

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo Valentin Vacherot

Break Points Saved %

64.6%

56.4%

Break Points Converted %

48.3%

37.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

54.1%

73.2%

Break Points Converted %

50.8%

45.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo 0 – 0 Valentin Vacherot

Hard Cincinnati · 2026-08-15

2. round

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo #66

Valentin Vacherot #18

6-3 6-3

2 Aces 14

4 Double Faults 5

51 Service Points 48

30 First Serve In 30

28 First Serve Won 24

10 Second Serve Won 6

0 Break Points Saved 0

0 Break Points Faced 3

15 Winners 21

12 Unforced Errors 26

3.4 Average Odds 1.3

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo vs Valentin Vacherot — Prediction