ATP tennis predict — Adolfo Daniel Vallejo vs Valentin Royer

ATP Hard Shanghai · 1. round 04:00

Predicted probability

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

Paraguay

53.82%

Valentin Royer

France

46.18%

Average Odds

1.73 / 2.08

Market probability

54.59% / 45.41%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1912.9 Elo 1835.7

1771.2 Elo (surface) 1759.3

25 Wins 35

11 Wins (surface) 26

8 Last 15 form 4

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.026 Dominance ratio 0.979

52 Rank 105

22.4 Age 25.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–5L · 44.4%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

25 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Valentin Royer

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 5W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–1L · 83.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–6L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo Valentin Royer

1st Serve In %

56.9%

61.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.7%

73.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.8%

47.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.3%

31.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.8%

48.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.33

0.51

Double Faults per Service Game

0.26

0.19

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.9%

64.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.3%

69.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.8%

56.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.5%

39.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.4%

60.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.18

0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.12

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo Valentin Royer

Break Points Saved %

62.8%

56.9%

Break Points Converted %

40.0%

38.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

54.1%

64.7%

Break Points Converted %

50.8%

45.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo and Valentin Royer have never played each other.

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo vs Valentin Royer — Prediction