ATP tennis predict — Adolfo Daniel Vallejo vs Stefano Travaglia

ATP Clay Bastad · QF

Predicted probability

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

Paraguay

74.77%

Stefano Travaglia

Italy

25.23%

Average Odds

1.36 / 3.10

Market probability

69.51% / 30.49%

Why This Prediction?

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1819 vs 1616), a higher Elo rating (1765 vs 1647) and fewer double faults per game (0.10 vs 0.16).

Player Comparison

1764.6 Elo 1647.2

1818.9 Elo (surface) 1615.8

16 Wins 85

13 Wins (surface) 26

9 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.088 Dominance ratio 1.016

71 Rank 150

22.2 Age 34.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Stefano Travaglia

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–4L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–5L · 28.6%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

21 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo Stefano Travaglia

1st Serve In %

60.6%

56.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.0%

70.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.1%

53.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.3%

25.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.6%

50.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.30

0.57

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.9%

56.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.3%

64.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.8%

47.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.5%

28.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.4%

55.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.18

0.32

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo Stefano Travaglia

Break Points Saved %

64.6%

61.4%

Break Points Converted %

48.3%

38.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

54.1%

50.7%

Break Points Converted %

50.8%

37.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo 0 – 0 Stefano Travaglia

Clay Bastad · 2026-07-17

QF

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo #71

Stefano Travaglia #150

7-6 6-2

2 Aces 8

2 Double Faults 0

80 Service Points 62

56 First Serve In 35

42 First Serve Won 21

7 Second Serve Won 13

5 Break Points Saved 2

7 Break Points Faced 6

21 Winners 29

28 Unforced Errors 42

1.4 Average Odds 3.1

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo vs Stefano Travaglia — Prediction