ATP tennis predict — Adolfo Daniel Vallejo vs Rafael Jodar

ATP Hard Tokyo · 1. round 10:30

Predicted probability

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

Paraguay

14.92%

Rafael Jodar

Spain

85.08%

Average Odds

4.35 / 1.21

Market probability

21.76% / 78.24%

Why This Prediction?

Rafael Jodar is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (2014 vs 1693), a higher Elo rating (2135 vs 1879) and a stronger serve (68.5% vs 60.5% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1879.0 Elo 2134.6

1692.6 Elo (surface) 2013.7

23 Wins 46

9 Wins (surface) 25

8 Last 15 form 11

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.026 Dominance ratio 1.130

56 Rank 13

22.4 Age 20.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Rafael Jodar

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 7W–1L · 87.5%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 9W–3L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

23 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo Rafael Jodar

1st Serve In %

56.7%

61.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

70.4%

70.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

46.1%

53.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

28.8%

32.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.7%

50.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.31

0.28

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.25

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.9%

59.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.3%

74.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.8%

56.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.5%

37.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.4%

57.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.18

0.45

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.17

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo Rafael Jodar

Break Points Saved %

66.7%

58.0%

Break Points Converted %

45.7%

41.9%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

54.1%

77.5%

Break Points Converted %

50.8%

45.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo and Rafael Jodar have never played each other.

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo vs Rafael Jodar — Prediction