ATP tennis predict — Adolfo Daniel Vallejo vs Pablo Carreno Busta

ATP Hard Winston Salem · 1. round 00:30

Predicted probability

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

Paraguay

47.31%

Pablo Carreno Busta

Spain

52.69%

Average Odds

2.10 / 1.72

Market probability

45.03% / 54.97%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1744.1 Elo 1754.7

1549.7 Elo (surface) 1720.0

19 Wins 335

5 Wins (surface) 185

7 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.136 Dominance ratio 0.867

70 Rank 72

22.3 Age 35.1

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Pablo Carreno Busta

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–4L · 42.9%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

15 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo Pablo Carreno Busta

1st Serve In %

60.6%

62.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.0%

65.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.1%

48.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.3%

28.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.6%

53.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.30

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.32

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.9%

68.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.3%

63.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.8%

52.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.5%

38.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.4%

52.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.18

0.17

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.12

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo Pablo Carreno Busta

Break Points Saved %

64.6%

51.8%

Break Points Converted %

48.3%

38.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

54.1%

52.4%

Break Points Converted %

50.8%

45.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo 0 – 0 Pablo Carreno Busta

Hard Winston Salem · 2026-08-24

1. round

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo #61

Pablo Carreno Busta #66

6-4 3-0

2 Aces 2

4 Double Faults 3

46 Service Points 52

28 First Serve In 29

17 First Serve Won 20

5 Second Serve Won 12

5 Break Points Saved 2

9 Break Points Faced 3

0 Winners 0

0 Unforced Errors 0

2.1 Average Odds 1.7

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo vs Pablo Carreno Busta — Prediction