ATP tennis predict — Adolfo Daniel Vallejo vs Luciano Darderi

ATP Clay Bastad · SF

Predicted probability

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

Paraguay

46.56%

Luciano Darderi

Italy

53.44%

Average Odds

2.80 / 1.43

Market probability

33.81% / 66.19%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1774.8 Elo 1764.4

1826.5 Elo (surface) 1832.9

17 Wins 87

14 Wins (surface) 67

9 Last 15 form 10

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.090 Dominance ratio 0.966

71 Rank 18

22.2 Age 24.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Luciano Darderi

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–4L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo Luciano Darderi

1st Serve In %

60.6%

58.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.0%

71.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.1%

48.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.3%

33.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.6%

54.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.30

0.77

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31

0.30

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.9%

52.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.3%

71.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.8%

52.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.5%

36.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.4%

57.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.18

0.41

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.28

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo Luciano Darderi

Break Points Saved %

64.6%

68.8%

Break Points Converted %

48.3%

40.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

54.1%

71.2%

Break Points Converted %

50.8%

48.0%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo 0 – 0 Luciano Darderi

Clay Bastad · 2026-07-18

SF

Luciano Darderi #18

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo #71

6-4 6-7 6-3

4 Aces 8

4 Double Faults 3

100 Service Points 134

67 First Serve In 80

51 First Serve Won 60

15 Second Serve Won 30

2 Break Points Saved 7

5 Break Points Faced 8

46 Winners 42

54 Unforced Errors 50

1.4 Average Odds 2.8

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo vs Luciano Darderi — Prediction