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Adolfo Daniel Vallejo vs Botic Van De Zandschulp — Prediction

ATP Clay Bastad · R16

Predicted probability

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

Paraguay

64.21%

Botic Van De Zandschulp

Netherlands

35.79%

Average Odds

1.85  /  1.93

Market probability

51.06%  /  48.94%

Why This Prediction?

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on clay courts (1805 vs 1750), a higher Elo rating (1750 vs 1731) and a stronger serve (63.6% vs 63.4% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1750.3 Elo 1730.7
1805.3 Elo (surface) 1749.8
15 Wins 166
12 Wins (surface) 43
9 Last 15 form 9
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.125 Dominance ratio 0.961
71 Rank 55
22.2 Age 30.8
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–4L · 33.3%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–3L · 40.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Botic Van De Zandschulp

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–1L · 88.9%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–4L · 42.9%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo Botic Van De Zandschulp

1st Serve In %

60.6%
58.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

73.0%
74.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.1%
44.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

29.3%
29.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.6%
54.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.30
0.61

Double Faults per Service Game

0.31
0.41

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

62.9%
60.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.3%
71.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.8%
45.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

35.5%
38.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

54.4%
59.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.18
0.52

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27
0.40

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo Botic Van De Zandschulp

Break Points Saved %

64.6%
62.0%

Break Points Converted %

48.3%
48.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

54.1%
50.0%

Break Points Converted %

50.8%
45.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo 00 Botic Van De Zandschulp

Hard Winston Salem · 2026-08-25
6 Aces 1
1 Double Faults 7
48 Service Points 42
29 First Serve In 18
22 First Serve Won 9
11 Second Serve Won 8
1 Break Points Saved 1
1 Break Points Faced 6
11 Winners 4
17 Unforced Errors 29
1.6 Average Odds 2.3
Clay Bastad · 2026-07-15
4 Aces 1
4 Double Faults 2
115 Service Points 102
78 First Serve In 67
51 First Serve Won 43
17 Second Serve Won 23
10 Break Points Saved 1
13 Break Points Faced 4
36 Winners 34
58 Unforced Errors 56
1.9 Average Odds 1.9

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo — Last 10

L L W L W W L L L W

Botic Van De Zandschulp — Last 10

L W W W W L W W L W