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Aditya Vishal Balsekar vs Yuta Shimizu — Prediction

Challenger Hard Phan Thiet 3 challenger · 1. round 07:55

Predicted probability

Average Odds

7.21  /  1.08

Market probability

13.03%  /  86.97%

Why This Prediction?

Yuta Shimizu is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1580 vs 1481), a higher Elo rating (1588 vs 1482) and more wins on hard courts (128 vs 6).

Player Comparison

1482.1 Elo 1587.7
1480.7 Elo (surface) 1579.7
7 Wins (Challenger) 129
6 Wins (surface) 128
7 Last 15 form 8
0 Head-to-head wins 0
0.979 Dominance ratio 1.194
997 Rank 396
23.9 Age 27.2
right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Aditya Vishal Balsekar

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–1L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–1L · 50.0%

5 matches with market odds since 2026-09-06.

Yuta Shimizu

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–3L · 25.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–4L · 42.9%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Aditya Vishal Balsekar Yuta Shimizu

1st Serve In %

47.9%
63.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

34.8%
66.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

52.0%
50.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.7%
26.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

36.0%
45.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.00
0.34

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29
0.24

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.2%
59.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.9%
69.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.9%
51.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

33.5%
33.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

52.1%
54.4%

Aces per Service Game

0.29
0.36

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29
0.32

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Aditya Vishal Balsekar Yuta Shimizu

Break Points Saved %

66.7%
60.9%

Break Points Converted %

0.0%
39.4%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.6%
62.3%

Break Points Converted %

39.1%
41.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Aditya Vishal Balsekar 00 Yuta Shimizu

Hard Phan Thiet 3 challenger · 2026-09-08
6-1 6-1
0 Aces 3
1 Double Faults 2
46 Service Points 42
29 First Serve In 26
13 First Serve Won 18
6 Second Serve Won 11
5 Break Points Saved 0
10 Break Points Faced 0
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.1 Average Odds 7.2

Aditya Vishal Balsekar — Last 10

L W L W W L L W L W

Yuta Shimizu — Last 10

L L W W W L L W L W