ATP tennis predict — Adam Walton vs Rigele Te

ATP Hard Shanghai · qualification - 1. round 08:15

Predicted probability

Adam Walton

Australia

89.44%

Rigele Te

China

10.56%

Average Odds

1.04 / 10.50

Market probability

90.99% / 9.01%

Why This Prediction?

Adam Walton is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1849 vs 1321), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1781 vs 1304) and more wins on hard courts (37 vs 2).

Player Comparison

1848.8 Elo 1321.0

1780.6 Elo (surface) 1304.3

49 Wins 4

37 Wins (surface) 2

7 Last 15 form 3

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.147 Dominance ratio 0.758

97 Rank 840

27.5 Age 29.0

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Adam Walton

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 9W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–3L · 72.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–7L · 30.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

34 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Rigele Te

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

2 matches with market odds since 2026-09-07.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Adam Walton Rigele Te

1st Serve In %

61.1%

54.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.5%

76.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.9%

48.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.0%

22.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.1%

44.1%

Aces per Service Game

0.60

0.66

Double Faults per Service Game

0.15

0.27

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

61.1%

57.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.4%

63.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

48.1%

47.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.4%

23.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

55.7%

47.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.58

Double Faults per Service Game

0.25

0.29

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Adam Walton Rigele Te

Break Points Saved %

62.7%

66.2%

Break Points Converted %

42.3%

33.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

58.8%

61.5%

Break Points Converted %

55.1%

35.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Adam Walton and Rigele Te have never played each other.

Adam Walton vs Rigele Te — Prediction