ATP tennis predict — Adam Walton vs Moise Kouame

Challenger Hard Jingshan challenger · 1. round 05:05

Predicted probability

Adam Walton

Australia

68.42%

Moise Kouame

France

31.58%

Average Odds

1.45 / 2.62

Market probability

64.37% / 35.63%

Why This Prediction?

Adam Walton is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1855 vs 1641), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1786 vs 1623) and more wins on hard courts (113 vs 10).

Player Comparison

1855.1 Elo 1641.3

1785.6 Elo (surface) 1622.5

117 Wins (Challenger) 10

113 Wins (surface) 10

13 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.927 Dominance ratio 1.126

97 Rank 194

27.5 Age 17.6

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Adam Walton

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 9W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–3L · 72.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–6L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

33 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Moise Kouame

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 1W–4L · 20.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–2L · 60.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Adam Walton Moise Kouame

1st Serve In %

61.1%

60.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.5%

68.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.9%

49.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.0%

30.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.1%

47.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.60

0.48

Double Faults per Service Game

0.15

0.34

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.4%

58.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

63.7%

71.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

49.0%

45.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.1%

32.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

53.0%

49.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.51

0.44

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.32

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Adam Walton Moise Kouame

Break Points Saved %

62.7%

63.2%

Break Points Converted %

42.3%

37.2%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

56.5%

50.0%

Break Points Converted %

57.1%

45.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Adam Walton 0 – 0 Moise Kouame

Hard Jingshan challenger · 2026-09-30

1. round

Adam Walton #97

Moise Kouame #194

6-1 6-4

8 Aces 1

0 Double Faults 9

- Service Points -

- First Serve In -

21 First Serve Won 19

11 Second Serve Won 8

1 Break Points Saved 1

2 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.4 Average Odds 2.6

Adam Walton vs Moise Kouame — Prediction