ATP tennis predict — Adam Walton vs Justin Boulais

ATP Hard Montreal · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Adam Walton

Australia

82.53%

Justin Boulais

Canada

17.47%

Average Odds

1.13 / 5.60

Market probability

83.21% / 16.79%

Why This Prediction?

Adam Walton is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1772 vs 1535), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1760 vs 1535) and a stronger serve (67.0% vs 47.0% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1772.0 Elo 1534.7

1759.6 Elo (surface) 1534.9

45 Wins 0

33 Wins (surface) 0

8 Last 15 form 0

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.226 Dominance ratio 0.534

96 Rank 390

27.3 Age 24.8

right Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Adam Walton

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 7W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–3L · 70.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–6L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

30 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Justin Boulais

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–6L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Adam Walton Justin Boulais

1st Serve In %

61.1%

56.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.5%

60.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.9%

47.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.0%

21.9%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.1%

43.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.60

0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

0.15

0.56

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.1%

60.2%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.9%

70.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.3%

50.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.4%

34.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.9%

51.6%

Aces per Service Game

0.47

0.26

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.42

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Adam Walton Justin Boulais

Break Points Saved %

62.7%

57.7%

Break Points Converted %

42.3%

16.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.4%

54.4%

Break Points Converted %

48.4%

46.8%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Adam Walton 0 – 0 Justin Boulais

Hard Montreal · 2026-08-01

qualification - 1. round

Adam Walton #96

Justin Boulais #390

7-5 7-6

9 Aces 5

3 Double Faults 7

73 Service Points 82

51 First Serve In 38

39 First Serve Won 29

13 Second Serve Won 24

2 Break Points Saved 6

3 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.1 Average Odds 5.6

Adam Walton vs Justin Boulais — Prediction