ATP tennis predict — Adam Walton vs Jesper De Jong

ATP Hard Winston Salem · 1. round 21:30

Predicted probability

Adam Walton

Australia

63.10%

Jesper De Jong

Netherlands

36.90%

Average Odds

1.54 / 2.45

Market probability

61.40% / 38.60%

Why This Prediction?

Adam Walton is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1750 vs 1638), a higher Elo rating (1773 vs 1688) and more wins on hard courts (111 vs 29).

Player Comparison

1772.9 Elo 1688.1

1750.2 Elo (surface) 1637.8

48 Wins 65

36 Wins (surface) 27

8 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.332 Dominance ratio 1.046

98 Rank 106

27.4 Age 26.2

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Adam Walton

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 7W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–3L · 70.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–6L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

30 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Jesper De Jong

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–2L · 77.8%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

18 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Adam Walton Jesper De Jong

1st Serve In %

61.1%

59.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.5%

75.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.9%

46.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.0%

31.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.1%

52.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.60

0.62

Double Faults per Service Game

0.15

0.44

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.1%

58.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.9%

75.4%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.3%

50.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.4%

39.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.9%

55.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.47

0.59

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.31

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Adam Walton Jesper De Jong

Break Points Saved %

62.7%

59.7%

Break Points Converted %

42.3%

35.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.4%

64.7%

Break Points Converted %

48.4%

45.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Adam Walton 0 – 0 Jesper De Jong

Hard Winston Salem · 2026-08-24

1. round

Adam Walton #93

Jesper De Jong #99

6-2 6-4

4 Aces 6

3 Double Faults 5

65 Service Points 53

31 First Serve In 32

21 First Serve Won 23

21 Second Serve Won 8

5 Break Points Saved 2

5 Break Points Faced 5

21 Winners 22

21 Unforced Errors 27

1.5 Average Odds 2.5

Adam Walton vs Jesper De Jong — Prediction