ATP tennis predict — Adam Walton vs Jenson Brooksby

ATP Hard Montreal · 1. round

Predicted probability

Adam Walton

Australia

52.62%

Jenson Brooksby

USA

47.38%

Average Odds

2.10 / 1.72

Market probability

45.03% / 54.97%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1777.3 Elo 1714.1

1765.5 Elo (surface) 1819.1

46 Wins 92

34 Wins (surface) 61

8 Last 15 form 6

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.220 Dominance ratio 0.945

96 Rank 77

27.3 Age 25.8

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Adam Walton

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 7W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–3L · 70.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–6L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

30 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Jenson Brooksby

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 6W–2L · 75.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Adam Walton Jenson Brooksby

1st Serve In %

61.1%

60.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.5%

70.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.9%

44.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.0%

29.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.1%

45.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.60

0.33

Double Faults per Service Game

0.15

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.1%

62.8%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.9%

67.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.3%

48.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.4%

29.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.9%

51.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.47

0.21

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.18

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Adam Walton Jenson Brooksby

Break Points Saved %

62.7%

54.1%

Break Points Converted %

42.3%

27.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.4%

62.3%

Break Points Converted %

48.4%

37.3%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Adam Walton 0 – 0 Jenson Brooksby

Hard Montreal · 2026-08-04

1. round

Jenson Brooksby #74

Adam Walton #97

6-3 6-4

1 Aces 6

3 Double Faults 0

50 Service Points 67

25 First Serve In 46

19 First Serve Won 33

12 Second Serve Won 14

0 Break Points Saved 3

2 Break Points Faced 3

14 Winners 27

26 Unforced Errors 17

1.7 Average Odds 2.1

Adam Walton vs Jenson Brooksby — Prediction