ATP tennis predict — Adam Walton vs Ignacio Buse

ATP Hard Cincinnati · 2. round 21:30

Predicted probability

Adam Walton

Australia

69.48%

Ignacio Buse

Peru

30.52%

Average Odds

1.59 / 2.35

Market probability

59.64% / 40.36%

Why This Prediction?

Adam Walton is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1762 vs 1579), a stronger serve (70.3% vs 56.3% of service points won) and a higher Elo rating (1773 vs 1766).

Player Comparison

1772.6 Elo 1765.7

1761.6 Elo (surface) 1578.8

47 Wins 35

35 Wins (surface) 7

7 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

1.378 Dominance ratio 0.772

97 Rank 33

27.3 Age 22.4

right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Adam Walton

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 7W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 7W–3L · 70.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–6L · 33.3%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 1W–0L · 100.0%

30 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Ignacio Buse

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 3W–5L · 37.5%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

20 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Adam Walton Ignacio Buse

1st Serve In %

61.1%

64.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.5%

64.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

54.9%

47.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

30.0%

25.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.1%

52.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.60

0.37

Double Faults per Service Game

0.15

0.23

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

60.1%

61.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

65.9%

69.2%

2nd Serve Points Won %

51.3%

49.4%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

25.4%

37.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

51.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.47

0.36

Double Faults per Service Game

0.29

0.14

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Adam Walton Ignacio Buse

Break Points Saved %

62.7%

56.0%

Break Points Converted %

42.3%

43.8%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

53.4%

54.8%

Break Points Converted %

48.4%

34.7%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Adam Walton 0 – 0 Ignacio Buse

Hard Winston Salem · 2026-08-25

2. round

Ignacio Buse #36

Adam Walton #93

6-2 5-7 6-3

5 Aces 6

3 Double Faults 0

98 Service Points 70

61 First Serve In 39

40 First Serve Won 28

14 Second Serve Won 20

7 Break Points Saved 1

13 Break Points Faced 4

23 Winners 26

39 Unforced Errors 18

2.6 Average Odds 1.5

Hard Cincinnati · 2026-08-17

2. round

Adam Walton #98

Ignacio Buse #36

6-4 6-3

2 Aces 4

1 Double Faults 0

55 Service Points 46

36 First Serve In 30

33 First Serve Won 19

6 Second Serve Won 10

0 Break Points Saved 1

1 Break Points Faced 4

17 Winners 12

23 Unforced Errors 20

1.6 Average Odds 2.4

Adam Walton vs Ignacio Buse — Prediction