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Abhishek Bastola vs Alexander Shevchenko — Prediction

ATP Hard Asian Games · 2. round

Predicted probability

Abhishek Bastola

Nepal

4.16%

Alexander Shevchenko

Kazakhstan

95.84%

Average Odds

-  /  -

Market probability

-  /  -

Why This Prediction?

Alexander Shevchenko is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1787 vs 1416), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1727 vs 1416) and more wins on hard courts (54 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1416.3 Elo 1787.4
1416.0 Elo (surface) 1726.8
0 Wins 90
0 Wins (surface) 54
0 Last 15 form 5
0 Head-to-head wins 0
1.105 Dominance ratio 1.105
- Rank 109
29.0 Age 25.8
right Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Abhishek Bastola

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

1 matches with market odds since 2026-09-06.

Alexander Shevchenko

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 1W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–5L · 16.7%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

17 matches with market odds since 2026-05-25.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Abhishek Bastola Alexander Shevchenko

1st Serve In %

—
57.0%

1st Serve Points Won %

—
74.8%

2nd Serve Points Won %

—
55.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

—
23.8%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

—
51.9%

Aces per Service Game

—
0.62

Double Faults per Service Game

—
0.28

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

68.1%
64.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

43.8%
70.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.3%
53.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

20.0%
39.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

14.3%
52.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.12
0.44

Double Faults per Service Game

0.38
0.11

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Abhishek Bastola Alexander Shevchenko

Break Points Saved %

—
70.5%

Break Points Converted %

—
40.3%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

28.6%
65.4%

Break Points Converted %

—
41.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Abhishek Bastola and Alexander Shevchenko have never played each other.

Abhishek Bastola — Last 1

L

Alexander Shevchenko — Last 10

L L L L W L L L W W