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Abedallah Shelbayh vs Tyler Zink — Prediction

Challenger Hard Tiburon challenger · 1. round 22:00

Predicted probability

Abedallah Shelbayh

Jordan

63.87%

Tyler Zink

USA

36.13%

Average Odds

1.40  /  2.67

Market probability

65.60%  /  34.40%

Why This Prediction?

Abedallah Shelbayh is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1670 vs 1548), a higher Elo rating (1664 vs 1594) and a stronger return game (35.3% vs 34.4% of return points won).

Player Comparison

1664.3 Elo 1593.7
1670.1 Elo (surface) 1548.4
100 Wins (Challenger) 46
78 Wins (surface) 33
8 Last 15 form 7
0 Head-to-head wins 2
0.829 Dominance ratio 1.045
251 Rank 330
22.8 Age 25.6
left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Abedallah Shelbayh

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–3L · 50.0%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–7L · 36.4%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Tyler Zink

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–1L · 80.0%
Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–2L · 66.7%
Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%
Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–8L · 0.0%
Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

22 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Abedallah Shelbayh Tyler Zink

1st Serve In %

59.9%
62.1%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.3%
72.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.2%
50.0%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.8%
29.6%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.0%
40.7%

Aces per Service Game

0.43
0.81

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27
0.25

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.6%
58.6%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.9%
74.9%

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.2%
51.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.6%
28.3%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.7%
41.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.32
0.55

Double Faults per Service Game

0.34
0.32

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Abedallah Shelbayh Tyler Zink

Break Points Saved %

69.3%
60.6%

Break Points Converted %

37.0%
25.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.0%
72.3%

Break Points Converted %

43.8%
38.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Abedallah Shelbayh 02 Tyler Zink

Hard Tiburon challenger · 2026-09-14
6-4 3-6 6-3
4 Aces 7
5 Double Faults 3
- Service Points -
- First Serve In -
36 First Serve Won 50
21 Second Serve Won 27
6 Break Points Saved 12
8 Break Points Faced 15
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
1.4 Average Odds 2.7
Hard Tiburon CH · 2025-09-29
6 Aces 3
2 Double Faults 2
51 Service Points 49
30 First Serve In 26
25 First Serve Won 21
15 Second Serve Won 12
0 Break Points Saved 2
0 Break Points Faced 4
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -
Hard Columbus CH · 2025-09-15
6-4 7-6(6)
5 Aces 5
3 Double Faults 6
68 Service Points 99
39 First Serve In 52
26 First Serve Won 31
18 Second Serve Won 21
1 Break Points Saved 14
4 Break Points Faced 18
- Winners -
- Unforced Errors -
- Average Odds -

Abedallah Shelbayh — Last 10

L L W W L W W L L L

Tyler Zink — Last 10

L L L L W L L W L W