ATP tennis predict — Abedallah Shelbayh vs Mitchell Krueger

Challenger Hard Columbus 3 challenger · SF 20:00

Predicted probability

Abedallah Shelbayh

Jordan

65.09%

Mitchell Krueger

USA

34.91%

Average Odds

1.67 / 2.11

Market probability

55.82% / 44.18%

Why This Prediction?

Abedallah Shelbayh is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1709 vs 1633), a higher Elo rating (1703 vs 1648) and a stronger serve (63.8% vs 58.7% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1703.3 Elo 1648.0

1709.0 Elo (surface) 1632.5

105 Wins (Challenger) 229

83 Wins (surface) 178

9 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 2

0.829 Dominance ratio 1.026

346 Rank 381

22.9 Age 32.7

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Abedallah Shelbayh

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 5W–3L · 62.5%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–7L · 36.4%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

28 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Mitchell Krueger

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 3W–1L · 75.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–2L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–1L · 0.0%

11 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Abedallah Shelbayh Mitchell Krueger

1st Serve In %

59.9%

66.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.3%

66.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.2%

47.7%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.8%

30.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.0%

40.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.43

0.34

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.10

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

57.1%

58.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

66.1%

67.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

44.0%

42.1%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.9%

39.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

40.0%

47.8%

Aces per Service Game

0.30

0.54

Double Faults per Service Game

0.23

0.38

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Abedallah Shelbayh Mitchell Krueger

Break Points Saved %

69.3%

60.9%

Break Points Converted %

37.0%

34.7%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

55.7%

62.4%

Break Points Converted %

46.3%

41.2%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Abedallah Shelbayh 0 – 2 Mitchell Krueger

Hard Us Open · 2024-08-26

Q2

Mitchell Krueger #179

Abedallah Shelbayh #215

3-6 7-5 6-1

3 Aces 1

5 Double Faults 1

80 Service Points 78

50 First Serve In 48

35 First Serve Won 29

15 Second Serve Won 14

2 Break Points Saved 2

6 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

- Average Odds -

Hard Little Rock CH · 2024-05-27

SF

Mitchell Krueger #251

Abedallah Shelbayh #248

3-6 6-1 6-4

10 Aces 2

2 Double Faults 4

86 Service Points 76

47 First Serve In 46

35 First Serve Won 27

20 Second Serve Won 17

4 Break Points Saved 1

6 Break Points Faced 5