ATP tennis predict — Abedallah Shelbayh vs Mees Rottgering

Challenger Hard Lexington challenger · qualification - round of 16

Predicted probability

Abedallah Shelbayh

Jordan

47.47%

Mees Rottgering

Netherlands

52.53%

Average Odds

1.85 / 1.79

Market probability

49.18% / 50.82%

Why This Prediction?

This is a very close match — there is no significant statistical edge for either player.

Player Comparison

1584.8 Elo 1581.4

1545.8 Elo (surface) 1606.1

96 Wins (Challenger) 8

74 Wins (surface) 5

6 Last 15 form 7

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.857 Dominance ratio 0.963

269 Rank 411

22.7 Age 19.1

left Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Abedallah Shelbayh

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–7L · 36.4%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Mees Rottgering

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 4W–1L · 80.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 1W–1L · 50.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 2W–4L · 33.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

16 matches with market odds since 2026-06-08.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Abedallah Shelbayh Mees Rottgering

1st Serve In %

59.9%

56.7%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.3%

66.5%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.2%

47.5%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.8%

28.2%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.0%

51.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.43

0.37

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.36

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.6%

56.9%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.9%

69.1%

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.2%

39.8%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.6%

26.7%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.7%

46.0%

Aces per Service Game

0.32

0.30

Double Faults per Service Game

0.34

0.37

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Abedallah Shelbayh Mees Rottgering

Break Points Saved %

69.3%

62.2%

Break Points Converted %

37.0%

31.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

48.5%

Break Points Converted %

43.8%

32.4%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Abedallah Shelbayh 0 – 0 Mees Rottgering

Hard Lexington challenger · 2026-08-03

qualification - round of 16

Abedallah Shelbayh #267

Mees Rottgering #416

7-5 6-4

6 Aces 3

0 Double Faults 6

60 Service Points 73

40 First Serve In 37

31 First Serve Won 27

10 Second Serve Won 15

0 Break Points Saved 5

1 Break Points Faced 8

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.9 Average Odds 1.8

Abedallah Shelbayh vs Mees Rottgering — Prediction