ATP tennis predict — Abedallah Shelbayh vs Joshua Sheehy

Challenger Hard Lexington challenger · qualification - 1. round

Predicted probability

Abedallah Shelbayh

Jordan

80.87%

Joshua Sheehy

USA

19.13%

Average Odds

1.25 / 3.66

Market probability

74.54% / 25.46%

Why This Prediction?

Abedallah Shelbayh is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating (1585 vs 1403), a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1546 vs 1366) and more wins on hard courts (9 vs 0).

Player Comparison

1584.8 Elo 1403.4

1545.8 Elo (surface) 1366.2

96 Wins (Challenger) 28

74 Wins (surface) 21

6 Last 15 form 5

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.857 Dominance ratio 0.802

269 Rank 649

22.7 Age 29.5

left Hand left

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Abedallah Shelbayh

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–7L · 36.4%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Joshua Sheehy

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–1L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–6L · 14.3%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Abedallah Shelbayh Joshua Sheehy

1st Serve In %

59.9%

—

1st Serve Points Won %

71.3%

—

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.2%

—

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.8%

—

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.0%

—

Aces per Service Game

0.43

—

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.6%

60.5%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.9%

67.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.2%

46.2%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.6%

24.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.7%

45.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.32

0.43

Double Faults per Service Game

0.34

0.38

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Abedallah Shelbayh Joshua Sheehy

Break Points Saved %

69.3%

—

Break Points Converted %

37.0%

—

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

57.5%

Break Points Converted %

43.8%

24.5%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Abedallah Shelbayh 0 – 0 Joshua Sheehy

Hard Lexington challenger · 2026-08-03

qualification - 1. round

Abedallah Shelbayh #267

Joshua Sheehy #651

6-3 2-6 7-6

7 Aces 10

5 Double Faults 9

97 Service Points 91

66 First Serve In 50

46 First Serve Won 42

17 Second Serve Won 18

8 Break Points Saved 5

11 Break Points Faced 7

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

1.2 Average Odds 3.7

Abedallah Shelbayh vs Joshua Sheehy — Prediction