ATP tennis predict — Abedallah Shelbayh vs Federico Cina

Challenger Hard Lexington challenger · R16 18:30

Predicted probability

Abedallah Shelbayh

Jordan

37.59%

Federico Cina

Italy

62.41%

Average Odds

2.42 / 1.52

Market probability

38.58% / 61.42%

Why This Prediction?

Federico Cina is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1695 vs 1590), a higher Elo rating (1675 vs 1619) and a stronger serve (67.1% vs 61.7% of service points won).

Player Comparison

1619.4 Elo 1675.4

1590.4 Elo (surface) 1695.4

99 Wins (Challenger) 46

77 Wins (surface) 30

8 Last 15 form 8

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.901 Dominance ratio 1.006

267 Rank 178

22.7 Age 19.4

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Abedallah Shelbayh

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–7L · 36.4%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Federico Cina

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 3W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 8W–7L · 53.3%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 0W–3L · 0.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

24 matches with market odds since 2026-05-24.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Abedallah Shelbayh Federico Cina

1st Serve In %

59.9%

57.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.3%

73.7%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.2%

47.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.8%

26.1%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.0%

53.3%

Aces per Service Game

0.43

0.58

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.33

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

59.6%

56.4%

1st Serve Points Won %

68.9%

66.0%

2nd Serve Points Won %

42.2%

50.3%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.6%

33.4%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

46.7%

47.9%

Aces per Service Game

0.32

0.38

Double Faults per Service Game

0.34

0.36

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Abedallah Shelbayh Federico Cina

Break Points Saved %

69.3%

52.2%

Break Points Converted %

37.0%

39.0%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

50.0%

58.5%

Break Points Converted %

43.8%

44.6%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Abedallah Shelbayh 0 – 0 Federico Cina

Hard Lexington challenger · 2026-08-05

R16

Abedallah Shelbayh #267

Federico Cina #178

7-6 6-2

1 Aces 2

12 Double Faults 9

82 Service Points 58

49 First Serve In 30

37 First Serve Won 18

10 Second Serve Won 11

6 Break Points Saved 1

9 Break Points Faced 6

- Winners -

- Unforced Errors -

2.4 Average Odds 1.5

Abedallah Shelbayh vs Federico Cina — Prediction