ATP tennis predict — Abedallah Shelbayh vs Daniil Ostapenkov

Challenger Hard Columbus 3 challenger · R16 18:30

Predicted probability

Abedallah Shelbayh

Jordan

67.23%

Daniil Ostapenkov

Belarus

32.77%

Average Odds

1.31 / 3.16

Market probability

70.69% / 29.31%

Why This Prediction?

Abedallah Shelbayh is the favorite because he has a higher Elo rating on hard courts (1682 vs 1587), a higher Elo rating (1679 vs 1605) and fewer double faults per game (0.13 vs 0.28).

Player Comparison

1679.5 Elo 1605.3

1682.3 Elo (surface) 1587.4

103 Wins (Challenger) 16

81 Wins (surface) 12

8 Last 15 form 9

0 Head-to-head wins 0

0.829 Dominance ratio 1.012

346 Rank 553

22.9 Age 23.4

left Hand right

Performance vs. the Odds

Career record grouped by how big a favorite the market made each player, based on their average odds.

Abedallah Shelbayh

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 4W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 3W–3L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 2W–1L · 66.7%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 4W–7L · 36.4%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–2L · 0.0%

26 matches with market odds since 2026-05-26.

Daniil Ostapenkov

Heavy favorite (odds below 1.30) 2W–0L · 100.0%

Favorite (odds 1.30-1.80) 2W–2L · 50.0%

Even match (odds 1.80-2.20) 0W–0L · 0.0%

Underdog (odds 2.20-4.00) 1W–3L · 25.0%

Heavy underdog (odds above 4.00) 0W–0L · 0.0%

10 matches with market odds since 2026-08-02.

Serve & Return

Serve and return win rates from each player's last 10 matches at the selected level.

Abedallah Shelbayh Daniil Ostapenkov

1st Serve In %

59.9%

52.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

71.3%

59.3%

2nd Serve Points Won %

53.2%

34.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

26.8%

29.0%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

48.0%

55.2%

Aces per Service Game

0.43

0.12

Double Faults per Service Game

0.27

0.56

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

1st Serve In %

58.4%

65.3%

1st Serve Points Won %

67.2%

79.6%

2nd Serve Points Won %

41.1%

44.9%

Return Points Won vs 1st Serve %

27.7%

26.5%

Return Points Won vs 2nd Serve %

43.0%

45.5%

Aces per Service Game

0.31

0.34

Double Faults per Service Game

0.35

0.32

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Break Point Performance

How each player handles the biggest points - break points saved serving, and converted returning - from their last 10 matches at the selected level.

Abedallah Shelbayh Daniil Ostapenkov

Break Points Saved %

69.3%

50.0%

Break Points Converted %

37.0%

63.6%

Based on each player's last 10 ATP/Grand Slam matches.

Break Points Saved %

54.4%

47.1%

Break Points Converted %

45.2%

39.1%

Based on each player's last 10 Challenger matches.

Head-to-Head

Abedallah Shelbayh and Daniil Ostapenkov have never played each other.

Abedallah Shelbayh vs Daniil Ostapenkov — Prediction